Biggest future trends

By Sergey Mikheev and Timofei Ivaikin

Podcast episode available here: https://anchor.fm/tim-ivaykin/episodes/Biggest-future-trends-to-live-by-Episode-11--2-1--clubhouse-1-eqcteh

2021:

• Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning
• Robotic Process Automation (RPA)
• 5G

2025:

Virtual and augmented reality is spreading.

Deep hybridity – a blend of the physical, biological, and digital worlds

Life expectancy is growing

slow down ageing in wealthy humans.

As communities become wealthier, expect sharper focus on purpose, meaning, making a difference and spirituality.

2030

more energy converted, highly connected, poly-nodal.

2080

• Some humans are more non-biological than biological
• 2083
• • Hyper-intelligent computers
• 2090
• • Religion is fading from European culture
• • The average employee works less than 20 hours per week

3000–9999

timeline

3000

• Purely biological humans are typically 7ft tall now, with lifespans of 120+

3100

• Humanity is becoming a Type 2 civilisation on the Kardashev scale

Trends collide:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/114x5plz0OMFMVYyaIT1s2E1ybdXNrSphub2RibzNvo4/edit

Checkbox:

[ ] discuss trends, what inspires in them, what opportunities it brings: 10 minutes

[ ] discuss trends combinations: 15 min

[ ] write out roadmap to pursue in this year to use the opportunities: 10 min

Summary:

More intelligent robots with high amount of sensors and dynamic interaction.

High input for machine learning – more data to process, refined results. Control of masses.

Video recognition can generate matrix based on real life. City building automated.

Matrix as in matrix movie: but with specialisation for different function.

Machine learning in medicine to increase life expectancy, body models, organs models, immune system models. Computer simulations instead of some animal experiments. Drugs with high efficiency. Drugs for specific person.

Wealthy people can use great tools to increase wealth more. More old politics. Presidents terms extended. Vocaloids-like holograms in politics.

Virtual cults. Believes in AIs. Cults of AIs.

Some wealthier people will isolate themselves from some of technologies.

Some smart intelligent neural networks based artificial organs.

Computing clusters will be created on high scale. No time to think sometimes on highest purpose – so much dynamic changes in the world.

Authors: Sergey Mikheev & Timofei Ivaikin

Details:

2021:

• Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning.
• * Robotic Process Automation (RPA)
• * Edge Computing.
• * Quantum Computing.
• * Virtual Reality and Augmented Reality.
• * Blockchain.
• * Internet of Things (IoT)
• * 5G.

2025:

2. Mobile Internet is better.

4. Artificial Intelligence is better.

6. Virtual and augmented reality is spreading.

8. Cloud technology also widespread

10. Internet of Things updates

12. Advanced robotics used more and more

14. Biometric technology becoming widespread.

Deep hybridity – a blend of the physical, biological, and digital worlds – is the final future trend you should be aware of. … TheFourth Industrial Revolution is all about cyber

1) Fall of all technology and connectivity costs

50 year trend, which will continue for at least another 50 years, because of new discoveries, innovation, economies of scale and human need.

Take solar cells for example, which will continue to plunge in price. For some communities they are already the cheapest source of electric power, and by 2030 they will make most other ways of power generation look really last century.

2) Universal access to mobile web

There are already more mobile SIM cards in the world than human beings and in most nations of the world. Most web access and e-commerce is now via a mobile device.

And by 2030, trillions of items will be joined up online, sharing information in the greatest and most explosive phase of digital expansion.

3) 1 billion children alive in the world

Never again in human history will so many children be growing up at the same time. All will see your lifestyle in advertising or on TV or the web. All will aspire to middle class wealth, education, health care. Global population will peak at around 11 billion in 2060.

Those 1 billion children will all be adults in less than 18 years, and most will have children of their own in 25 years. Their views and lifestyles will dominate our planet for the next 50–80 years.

4) Over 85% of humankind living in emerging markets

That’s almost everyone. So if you live in a developed nation, think some really radical thoughts about life in 2030. The only markets worth investing in for many industries, will be emerging markets.

The collective voice, opinions and lifestyle choices of those living in emerging markets will one day completely dominate our entire world. America and Europe will decline as global players.

5) Growth of middle class consumers in emerging markets

Over a billion new middle class consumers will be created in emerging markets during the next 30 years, as a result of better education and economic growth.

Countries like China and India will be transformed by growth of their own domestic markets – becoming much less dependent on exports of goods or services to developed nations like America or Japan.

6) Huge growth in life expectancy in most nations

The life expectancy of every person living in a city like London has been getting longer by an average of one year in every four years – despite a recent blip.

That’s without the miracles of medical technology, pharma and health care that we can expect in the next 50 years. Life expectancy is growing even faster in many of the poorest nations.

By 2040 we will know all the secrets of non-ageing animals – of which there are many types – and will be finding new ways to slow down ageing in wealthy humans.

7) Growth in global trade and corporate giants

Every year, trade between nations continues to grow rapidly, as our world continues to become more joined up as a single economic community.

Expect huge consolidation and mergers in manufacturing, distribution and retail. Over 70% of all retail spending will be captured by less than 10 companies in many nations by 2040.

In 2050 there will still be only 2–3 major airline manufacturers, only 2–3 global mobile or computer operating systems, only 10 mega-sized pharma companies, less than 5 major groups of car manufacturers.

8) Increased automation – factories, cars, offices, homes

The Internet of Things, Cloud Computing, Big Data, Robotics and AI will all accelerate global automation of every aspect of human existence. This is an irresistible trend that has been accelerating for over 100 years.

Despite this, expect several billion more jobs to be created, mainly in service industries, as people look for ever more creative and personal ways to improve quality of life.

9) Tribalism feeding radical extremists and terrorism

Tribalism is the most powerful force on earth today. Every family is a tribe. Every community is a tribe. Every brand forms a tribe. Every large company is a tribe of tribes.

As a reaction to globalization and threats to local cultures, languages and ways of life, expect rapid growth of tribalism, localism, activism and terrorism.

These forces will be fed by social media, and will undermine many democracies and dictatorships, while also encouraging tribal leadership: populist, emotional and autocratic, appealing to tribal instincts and issues.

10) Search for purpose, sustainability and spiritual meaning

Most people in the world say that they have spiritual beliefs which influence how they think, feel and live.

As communities become wealthier, expect sharper focus on purpose, meaning, making a difference and spirituality.

As part of this, expect intense focus on longer term sustainability for our world.

2030

Hotter, more energy converted, highly connected, poly-nodal.

WELCOME TO 2030: THE MEGA-TRENDS:

https://ec.europa.eu/assets/epsc/pages/espas/chapter1.html

2050

PwC examines five key megatrends: Shift in Global Economic Power, Demographic Change, Rapid Urbanization, Rise of Technology, and Climate Change/Resource Scarcity.

Five Megatrends And Their Implications for Global Defense & …

2080–2089

2080

• Some humans are more non-biological than biological
• • Construction of a transatlantic tunnel is underway
• • Many former Winter Games venues no longer provide snow
• • Polar bears face extinction
• • One in five lizard species are extinct
• • Deadly heatwaves plague Europe
• 2083
• • Hyper-intelligent computers
• • Hinkley Point C and other nuclear plants are decommissioned
• • V Sagittae becomes the brightest star in the night sky
• 2084
• • Conventional meat is becoming obsolete
• • Androids are widespread in law enforcement
• 2085
• • Five-year survival rates for brain tumours are reaching 100%

https://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2080-2089.htm

2099:

2090

• Religion is fading from European culture
• • Hypersonic vactrains are widespread
• 2095–2100
• • Hurricane defence fields are operational in the U.S.
• 2095
• • Global fertility has stabilised at below 2.0 children per woman
• • Many of the world’s languages are no longer in use
• 2099
• • Sea levels are wreaking havoc around the world
• • 80% of the Amazon rainforest has been lost
• • The average employee works less than 20 hours per week

https://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2090-2099.htm

3000–9999

timeline contents

3000

• Purely biological humans are typically 7ft tall now, with lifespans of 120+
• • The Pillars of Creation are no longer visible from Earth
• 3100
• • Humanity is becoming a Type 2 civilisation on the Kardashev scale
• 3500
• • Polar reversal of the Earth
• • The Grand Unification Energy is witnessed
• 4000
• • Computer science is reaching its ultimate potential

Beyond

1,000,000

1,000,000 AD

• Planet-sized computers dominate the Local Group; humanity’s descendants are a Type 3 civilisation on the Kardashev scale
• 1,400,000 AD
• • The Oort Cloud is being disrupted by the approach of Gliese 710
• 2,000,000 AD
• • Pioneer 10 is approaching the Aldebaran system
• 4,000,000 AD
• • Pioneer 11 is approaching the Lambda Aquilae system
• 6,800,000 AD
• • DNA from the 21st century has completely decayed
• 7,200,000 AD
• • Mount Rushmore has eroded away
• 7,600,000 AD
• • Phobos is ripped apart by Mars’ gravity
• 8,400,000 AD
• • LAGEOS-1 returns to Earth
• 10,000,000 AD
• • Earth is being threatened by lethal levels of gamma radiation
• 27,000,000 AD
• • Smith’s Cloud is colliding and merging with our Milky Way galaxy
• 30,000,000 –
• 40,000,000 AD
• • At some point during this period, an asteroid 10–20 km in size comes on a direct collision course with Earth
• 50,000,000 AD
• • Africa merges with Europe, forming a new mountain range to rival the Himalayas
• 100,000,000 AD
• • The rings of Saturn have disappeared
• • The Milky Way galaxy has stabilised from an earlier collision
• 150,000,000 AD
• • The Atlantic Ocean begins to close
• 225,000,000 AD
• • Sol completes one galactic year
• 250,000,000 AD
• • A supercontinent is forming on Earth
• 600,000,000 AD
• • Total solar eclipses are no longer possible on Earth
• 750,000,000 AD
• • The Sagittarius dwarf galaxy has been absorbed into the larger Milky Way
• 1,000,000,000 AD
• • Earth is becoming too hot to support liquid water